O'Shea's convert decision ignored a 55% league success rate and a gassed defence.

Facing a 26-25 deficit, O'Shea chose the one-point convert to force OT, but CFL teams convert two-point attempts at a 55% clip since 2015. With his defence visibly fatigued after a heavy workload, kicking the extra point traded a 55% win probability for a coin-flip OT where the Riders scored in five plays—an analytically inferior choice given the momentum and personnel state.