Oliveira's heavy workload is becoming a liability, not a leverage tool.

He's getting 33 carries for 235 yards over the last two games (vs. 24/176 the two prior), but he's also on pace for just 45 receptions, down from 61 last year. The historical win-rate with Oliveira over 100 yards rushing — 16-1 from 2021-24 — has cratered to 3-4 over his seven games. That's a symptom of defences keying on him and wiping out his screen/check-down value, forcing the offence into predictable first-and-long runs.