Oliveira's workload has climbed while the Bombers' run-to-win correlation has inverted.

Oliveira leads the CFL in carries and rushing yards, but his receiving pace is down to 45 from 61 last year — and the team is feeding him more without a payoff. From 2021-24, his 17 100-yard rushing games produced a 16-1 record; over the last two seasons, that has fallen to 3-4 in seven such games, so the volume is no longer masking structural issues.