The 55% That Haunts O'Shea: Convert Math, Gassed Defence, and OT Collapse
Mike O'Shea's decision to kick the single instead of going for two with the game tied at 26-26 is the kind of call that gets second-guessed for a full season โ and the data says it should be. Per Derek Taylor of 680 CJOB, CFL teams convert two-point attempts at a 55 percent clip since 2015. That's a
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Gassed defence exposed by offensive three-and-outs, not just missed tackles.
Winnipeg's defence held Saskatchewan to just 13 points through three quarters, but the offence's inability to sustain drives left them on the field. Jaiden Woodbey's missed tackle on Daniel Wiebe's 72-yard catch-and-run wasn't an isolated errorโit was the breaking point of a unit worn down by the offence's failure to control the clock, a trend that culminated in a quick OT touchdown.
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O'Shea's Cowardice Cost Winnipeg the West โ And He Knows It
Let me tell you what really happened in Regina on Sunday night. Mike O'Shea had the ball at the Saskatchewan five-yard line, down by one, with zero seconds on the clock. Zach Collaros just hit Dorian Singer for the score. The building was shaking. The Bombers had ALL the momentum. And O'Shea looked at the math โ 55 percent success rate on two-point converts since 2015 โ and said, "Nah, let's play more football." That's not analytics. That's fear. I've been in that locker room. I've heard the whispers. There are guys on that Winnipeg roster who wanted the ball in their hands right there, who wanted to end it. Instead, O'Shea punted on the season's biggest moment. Saskatchewan needed five plays to score in overtime. Five. The West Division lead is now four points, and Winnipeg's path to fir